The study conducted by the Egyptian Centre for Media Studies and the public opinion group Integrating Egypt is the second of its kind to be conducted since General Abdel-Fatah Al-Sisi, Commander in Chief of the Armed Forces, and various political and religious factions collaborated to depose Morsi in a military coup last month.
The aim of the study was to
examine the critical group in opposition to President Morsi's detention
and the trajectory of the level of support for the 2011 Constitution
(approximately 78 per cent) if the current political situation
continues. It shows the qualitative distribution of those in opposition
to Morsi's isolation, only around 19 per cent of whom are Muslim
Brotherhood supporters. Thirty-nine per cent of those opposed to his
detention are affiliated with other Islamic factions whereas 36 per cent
do not affiliate with any political movements. The liberal bloc and
Christians constitute 6 per cent and 2 per cent of the study
respectively.
In terms of the qualitative
distribution of those who support President Morsi's overthrow, the study
indicates that 55 per cent were affiliated with the disgraced Mubarak
regime. Nineteen per cent belong to the Liberal movement, 17 per cent
are Christian and 6 per cent affiliate with the Leftist bloc; 3 per cent
do not affiliate with any political movement.
The qualitative distribution of
those who prefer not to express an opinion on the political situation
shows that 91 per cent affiliate themselves with the Nour party or some
religious schools of thought whereas 9 per cent do not have any
political affiliations. The study was conducted on August 1st and 2nd by
selecting 3,911 individuals at random from different denominations and
sects in Egyptian society.
The study showed an increase in
the number of those opposed to deposing President Morsi, from July's 63
per cent to 69 per cent. The number of those in favour of keeping the
president in isolation went down slightly, from 26 per cent in July to
25 per cent; those who preferred to remain silent dropped from 11 per
cent to 6 per cent. The study shows a 10 per cent increase in the number
of those opposed to removing President Morsi from his post over the
course of the previous month.
It is noticeable that the
opposition is roughly equal to the proportions of the voting bloc
alliances in the previous parliament, which included the Freedom and
Justice Party and the Nour Party coalition. It is likely that the
opposition and the supporters of the 2011 constitution (roughly 78 per
cent) will be targeted.
With a 4 per cent decrease in
supporter for President Morsi's isolation over the last month, the
number of those who support his removal is approaching 25 per cent and
the proportion of those opposed to amending the 2011 Constitution is
approximately 22 per cent. These figures could become a reality in two
months' time if the political situation continues in the same vein.
The qualitative distribution of
the 69 per cent of Egyptians opposed to overthrowing President Morsi
according to political orientation is broken down as follows:
19 per cent are affiliated with
the Muslim Brotherhood or its political branch, the Freedom and Justice
Party, and its political ideology. Many live in Lower Egypt and Greater
Cairo.
39 per cent belong to Islamic
political movements with ideologies and schools of thought aside from
the Muslim Brotherhood. Many of these individuals live in the North or
South of Upper Egypt.
6 per cent are liberals and
practice independent professions such as medicine, law, accountancy and
business. The majority live in the provinces of Upper and Lower Egypt
and Greater Cairo.
36 per cent do not align
themselves with any political parties, either organisationally or
ideologically. Many were born into Islam and are by default practicing
Muslims. They inhabit numerous Egyptian provinces and live in villages
and hamlets.
2 per cent are Christians and belong to the Evangelical Church. The majority are highly educated.
The qualitative distribution of
the 25 per cent of Egyptians in favour of overthrowing President Morsi
according to political orientation is as follows:
55 per cent are supporters of
Hosni Mubarak and the former regime. Many of them work in government or
occupy government jobs. The majority live in Cairo and other provincial
capitals.
19 per cent belong to liberal
blocs and parties with liberal ideologies in general. Many live in Cairo
and other provincial capitals.
17 per cent are Coptic
Christians belonging to the Orthodox Church. This study considers them
to be a political movement after many Egyptian Church leaders
participated in removing President Morsi from office. They mostly live
in Cairo, Minya, Beni Suef, Asslut, Sohag, Luxor, Alexandria, and
Menouflia.
6 per cent belong to left-wing
blocs and/or parties with leftist ideology. They mostly live in Cairo
and other provincial capitals.
3 per cent do not align themselves with any political movements and live in all provinces.
Note that of the individuals
who support the removal of Dr Morsi from his post as President of the
Republic, 97 per cent have political and organisational affiliations.
Seventy-two per cent of them are Christian or support the former Mubarak
Regime, which reflects the same alliance between these two currents
during the period of Mubarak's thirty-year rule.
sumber: http://www.ikhwanweb.com/article.php?id=31232
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